CMC Markets专栏: 德指迎来新一轮涨势

Author
CMC Markets, Tina Teng

Article
昨日欧洲央行行长德拉吉在新闻发布会中表示欧洲将持续宽松推涨经济，有可能在必要的情况下加大其资产购买力度。并且明确表示在12月份对QE再次检验另作调整，虽然其未明确表明将扩大货币宽松，但整体鸽派的言论使得市场对QE扩大的可能性十分确定。

全球各大股指受此影响全面上扬，尤其是欧洲股市表现突出，德国指数30（DAX）一日涨幅达2.48%，收盘10503.71点。可以说德拉吉的讲话使得欧洲股市终于摆脱多日的低迷，有了突破性的上涨。

技术形态上看，德指有可能继续向上冲高，潜在多头目标有可能在10850点附近，并在10480-10850的区间进行调整。然而在12月份新的欧洲央行货币政策出台前，加之美国仍然有加息预期，德指短期内未必能够突破此调整区间。

日线图

日线图显示德指已经基本突破主要阻力位置，有望继续向上挑战新高10850附近（黄金分割线50.0%）。技术指标MACD显示两条均线向上插入零轴，也是支持多头的有力信号。

月线图

月线图上显示德指仍然在长期的上升通道中运行，但技术指标MACD与Stoch均显示德指在超买区运行已久。从8月份的大幅修正型回调可以看出上方的重要潜在的阻力位置10800附近依旧难以短时期内突破。

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。